MERICS China Forecast 2023
2023 will be a critical year for China. Following the sudden about-turn in Beijing’s Covid-19 policies, the country is currently struggling with an unprecedented health crisis. The economy is in deep trouble. At the same time, Xi Jinping looks set to hardwire the political agenda he pushed through at the historic 20th Party Congress in October and establish a new leadership team at the National People’s Congress in Spring. Internationally, Beijing is also facing multiple challenges, including its relationship with the US, its "no-limits" partnership with Russia and a re-calibration of China policies across Europe.
To anticipate what 2023 might have in store for us, we hosted the 4th MERICS China Forecast conference on Wednesday, January 18, 2023, in collaboration with our media partner Handelsblatt. MERICS presented findings from our annual survey among leading European experts and professionals and among a wider global audience on key developments in Europe-China relations. A prominent line-up of high-level speakers shared and discuss their expectations for the turbulent year ahead, including China’s political and economic trajectory and challenges for European governments and companies.
The results of the MERICS China Forecast 2023 are available here.
Rewatch our virtual conference on YouTube or here:
MERICS Forecast 2023 Agenda
12:00 Welcome and introduction by Mikko Huotari, Executive Director, MERICS
12:05 Live survey
- Joerg Wuttke, President of EU Chamber of Commerce in China (EUCCC)
12:20 Panel 1 – “China’s political and economic trajectory in 2023"
- Alicia García-Herrero, Senior Fellow, Bruegel and Chief Economist for Asia Pacific, Natixis
- Charles Parton, Senior Fellow, MERICS
- Joerg Wuttke, President, EU Chamber of Commerce in China (EUCCC)
Moderator: Claudia Wessling, Director Communications and Publications, MERICS
13:00 Presentation of MERICS China Forecast 2023 Survey results by Roderick Kefferpütz, Senior Analyst, MERICS
13:10 Panel 2 – “Challenges and opportunities for European China policy in 2023”
- Alexander Gabuev, Senior Fellow, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
- Maria Martin-Prat, Deputy Director-General, DG Trade, European Commission
- Malin Oud, Director of China Programme, Raoul Wallenberg Institute
Moderator: Nicole Bastian, Head of Foreign Affairs Department, Handelsblatt
13:55 Closing remarks by Mikko Huotari
14:00 End of conference
The MERICS China Forecast 2023 has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon Europe research and innovation programme under grant agreement number 101061700. The event is part of "China Horizons", a multi-year project bringing together nine research institutions from seven EU member states. Its aim is to strengthen Europe's independent knowledge base on China's politics, society and economy.